Investing News

Today’s Mortgage Rates & Trends – June 21, 2021

The Federal Reserve’s announcement Wednesday of an accelerated timeline for eventually trimming the central bank’s bond purchases sent mortgage rates substantially higher mid-week. On Friday, averages for most mortgage types eased off that spike to end the week, though 15-year fixed mortgages rose higher still.

National Averages of Lenders’ Best Rates
Loan Type Purchase Refinance
30-Year Fixed 3.22% 3.48%
FHA 30-Year Fixed 3.05% 3.29%
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 3.37% 3.64%
15-Year Fixed 2.54% 2.73%
5/1 ARM 2.87% 2.96%
National averages of the lowest rates offered by more than 200 of the country’s top lenders, with a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80%, an applicant with a FICO credit score of 700-760, and no mortgage points.

Today’s National Mortgage Rate Averages

After jumping to 3.24% Thursday, the average on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages dipped modestly Friday to 3.22%. That’s compared to just 3.07% one week prior.

Average 15-year rates also spiked Thursday, and then climbed an additional three basis points to end the week at their 45-day high of 2.54%.

Averages for refinance loans were 19 to 27 basis points higher than new purchase rates on fixed-rate loans, while 5/1 ARM refinancing trimmed its premium over new purchase rates to just a 9-point difference.


The rates you see here generally won’t compare directly with teaser rates you see advertised online, since those rates are cherry-picked as the most attractive. They may involve paying points in advance, or may be selected based on a hypothetical borrower with an ultra-high credit score or taking a smaller-than-typical loan given the value of the home.

National Averages of Lenders’ Best Rates – New Purchase
Loan Type New Purchase Daily Change
30-Year Fixed 3.22% -0.02
FHA 30-Year Fixed 3.05% -0.04
VA 30-Year Fixed 3.10% -0.03
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 3.37% -0.03
20-Year Fixed 3.07% -0.04
15-Year Fixed 2.54% +0.03
Jumbo 15-Year Fixed 2.99% +0.01
10-Year Fixed 2.41% +0.01
10/1 ARM 3.36% -0.19
10/6 ARM 3.60% -0.19
7/1 ARM 3.93% -0.06
Jumbo 7/1 ARM 2.26% -0.05
7/6 ARM 3.15% +0.04
Jumbo 7/6 ARM 2.54% -0.09
5/1 ARM 2.87% -0.02
Jumbo 5/1 ARM 2.11% -0.05
5/6 ARM 3.61% -0.09
Jumbo 5/6 ARM 2.56% No Change
National Averages of Lenders’ Best Rates – Refinancing
Loan Type Refinance Daily Change
30-Year Fixed 3.48% -0.02
FHA 30-Year Fixed 3.29% -0.01
VA 30-Year Fixed 3.39% +0.03
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 3.64% No Change
20-Year Fixed 3.31% -0.03
15-Year Fixed 2.73% +0.04
Jumbo 15-Year Fixed 3.17% No Change
10-Year Fixed 2.68% +0.03
10/1 ARM 3.86% -0.08
10/6 ARM 4.38% -0.01
7/1 ARM 4.01% -0.13
Jumbo 7/1 ARM 2.52% -0.06
7/6 ARM 4.11% -0.02
Jumbo 7/6 ARM 2.90% No Change
5/1 ARM 2.96% -0.01
Jumbo 5/1 ARM 2.36% -0.06
5/6 ARM 4.58% -0.01
Jumbo 5/6 ARM 2.84% No Change

Lowest Mortgage Rates by State

The lowest mortgage rates available vary depending on the state where originations occur. Mortgage rates can be influenced by state-level variations in credit score, average mortgage loan term, and size, as well as individual lenders’ varying risk management strategies.

These rates are surveyed directly from over 200 top lenders.

What Causes Mortgage Rates to Rise or Fall?

Mortgage rates are determined by a complex interaction of macroeconomic and industry factors, such as the level and direction of the bond market, including 10-year Treasury yields; the Federal Reserve’s current monetary policy, especially as it relates to funding government-backed mortgages; and competition between lenders and across loan types. Because fluctuations can be caused by any number of these at once, it’s generally difficult to attribute the change to any one factor.

Macroeconomic factors have kept the mortgage market relatively low for the last two months. In particular, the Federal Reserve has been buying billions of dollars of bonds and continues to do so. This bond-buying policy (and not the more publicized federal funds rate) is a major influencer on mortgage rates.

But Fed policy could soon change. The Fed’s rate and policy committee, called the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), meets every 6-8 weeks, and concluded their latest meeting June 16. Though they did not yet announce any changes to their bond-buying plans, they did indicate that a shift could come over the not-too-distant horizon. This forecasting language, without any actual change, is enough to move mortgage rates up.


The national averages cited above were calculated based on the lowest rate offered by more than 200 of the country’s top lenders, assuming a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80% and an applicant with a FICO credit score in the 700-760 range. The resulting rates are representative of what customers should expect to see when receiving actual quotes from lenders based on their qualifications, which may vary from advertised teaser rates.

For our map of the best state rates, the lowest rate currently offered by a surveyed lender in that state is listed, assuming the same parameters of an 80% LTV and a credit score between 700-760.