Will Millennials Get Social Security?

Yes, but benefits won’t cover everything in retirement.

Fact checked by Suzanne KvilhaugReviewed by Katie MillerFact checked by Suzanne KvilhaugReviewed by Katie Miller

More than a third of millennials (the generation born in the years 1981 to 1996) don’t expect to receive any Social Security benefits, according to a 2023 survey by the Nationwide Retirement Institute. Fortunately, they likely will receive some Social Security benefits—the question is how much.

There is a good deal of uncertainty about Social Security’s future, including whether Congress will cut benefits or increase the full retirement age in order to keep the program functioning. As a result, the best thing millennials (and everyone else) can do to plan for the future is invest in retirement savings.

Key Takeaways

• Millennials may receive less Social Security than older generations as funds are depleted due to a declining number of U.S. workers.
• Millennials can fully retire at age 67, but to get the most out of Social Security benefits, you should wait until age 70 to collect.
• Millennials still have time to contribute as much as possible to retirement funds every year.
• Retirement planning strategies include using a tax-free retirement savings account, maximizing available employer matches, diversifying investments, and paying off debt.

How Social Security Works

Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance (OASDI) is run by the Social Security Administration (SSA) and provides retirement, survivor, and disability benefits for disabled workers. OASDI is funded by a dedicated payroll tax.

Employers and their employees each pay 6.2% of wages into it, up to the taxable maximum for net earnings in the current year. In 2024, that amount is $168,600. If you are self-employed, you must pay up to 12.4% of Social Security tax.

Social Security benefits are based on work credits, which are earned based on annual income. You can earn up to a maximum of four credits a year. For example, in 2024, you can earn one credit for every $1,730 and all four annual credits with $6,920. Millennials will need 40 credits to collect Social Security benefits (this applies to everyone born after 1929).

The government calculates your monthly Social Security benefits based on your average indexed monthly earnings (AIME) over your 35 highest-earning years of work and adjusts for inflation. Individual benefits vary from person to person.

Note

Congress makes a cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) each year to tweak the Social Security formula. When this happens, beneficiaries receive a small bump in their benefit checks.

Many Americans are concerned about Social Security after reports from the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund stated it only has enough in its coffers to pay 100% of benefits until 2033, when the OASI predicts its reserve funds will be exhausted. There are a few reasons why this is occurring, including Americans having fewer children, an overall increased life expectancy, and the ongoing retirement of the baby boomer workforce, meaning fewer payments are going into the fund.

OASI cash reserves may be depleted, but continuing program income, according to the Social Security Administration, should cover 77% of scheduled benefits going forward.

Age at Retirement

If you’ve paid into the Social Security system for at least a decade, you can claim partial benefits at age 62 or full benefits at either age 66 or 67 (depending on what year you were born). Millennials can take full retirement at age 67, as can everyone born in 1960 or later.

“Every year you postpone claiming benefits, your eventual benefit can increase by 8%. The higher baseline will last for the rest of your retirement and serve as the basis for increases linked to inflation,” says Cindy Scott, a certified financial planner (CFP) with Schwab Intelligent Portfolios Premium. “That means millennials who can wait to retire until age 70 can expect their benefit to increase by up to 24%.”

Expected Social Security Benefits for Millennials

While the exact amount of your Social Security benefits will depend on your earnings, you can estimate the amount. There are some guidelines and caveats to keep in mind when you do.

As long as everyone continues to pay payroll taxes, Social Security checks will keep arriving in beneficiaries’ bank accounts. Congress continues to seek solutions to ensure Social Security benefits do not expire by 2033 and beyond. You can forecast your Social Security earnings to understand your benefits.

For example, using SSA’s Quick Calculator, a millennial born in 1981 with a median income of $71,566 who takes Social Security benefits at age 67 would receive an estimated $2,485 (in 2024 dollars) each month. If they only received 77% of those benefits, the check would be $1,913.

Someone born in 1996 and earning the same median income would receive an estimated monthly benefit of $2,589 (in 2024 dollars) at age 67. If benefits are reduced to 77%, that would be $1,993 instead.

Millennials still have decades to save for their retirement. If they wait until age 70 to take Social Security benefits, they can take advantage of a fairly sizable bump in benefits work credits because the benefit pool will likely continue to exist.

You don’t have to wait to age 70 to stop working. As long as you have enough work credits from your income-earning years and can financially support yourself, you can stop actively working whenever you want. Then, when you reach full Social Security retirement age (based on when you were born), you can choose when to start receiving your monthly Social Security benefits.

Other Retirement Income

No matter what amount of Social Security you receive, it won’t be enough to cover all your retirement costs. The reason is that the cost-of-living adjustments (COLAs) for Social Security have not kept pace with inflation and the real cost of living for older Americans.

For example, in 2024, benefits went up by around $50 per month on average due to the 3.2% COLA increase. In 2025, the COLA increase will be 2.5%, which will again be an average increase of approximately $50 per month.

Note

According to a white paper by The Senior Citizens League (TSCL), a bipartisan nonprofit group, “Social Security benefits have lost about 36% of buying power since 2000” due to inflation.

Fast forward 20, 30, or 40 years from now, and millennials may face the same tough economic situation as today’s retired adults.

“We don’t think millennials should bank on access to their full Social Security benefit,” says Priya Malani, CEO and founder of Stash Wealth, a financial planning firm catering to High Earners, Not Rich Yet (HENRYs), a subsegment of the millennial population. “When we design financial plans for millennials, we typically reduce the Social Security benefit by half, if not more.”

Malani adds that her firm prefers to set up clients not to rely on Social Security benefits, which can then function as “icing on our retirement cake.”

Tips to Save for Retirement as a Millennial

In general, millennials are trending toward using conservative investing strategies.

Rita Assaf, vice president of Retirement Products at Fidelity Investments, shares that this trend may stem from millennials having lived through significant events like the Great Recession and the coronavirus pandemic.

“Now, with multiple savings priorities of their own, millennials are choosing to be more conservative in their investing habits. The concern is that they may not have the appropriate mix of assets to help them adequately achieve their retirement objectives,” says Assaf.

Here are some more ways that anyone can work toward saving enough money for retirement.

If you’re a millennial with your eyes on retirement, there are more resources here to help support your financial future.

Start Saving Early

Many financial experts recommend saving 10 times your salary by age 67, so the earlier you start, the more you can save.

That recommendation helps ensure you can follow the 4% rule of thumb when you enter retirement and start withdrawing funds. The 4% rule is a commonly employed guideline for managing retirement expenses: Add up all your investments and withdraw 4% of that sum in the initial year of your retirement.

Then, in the following years, you update the withdrawal amount to accommodate inflation. Adhering to this strategy should help sustain your finances throughout a 30-year retirement.

Use the 50/30/20 Rule

The 50/30/20 budgeting rule can help you organize your spending habits now to benefit your financial self later.

Take your net income and divide it into three sections: Approximately 50% should go to living expenses, like rent or a mortgage payment (needs); 30% should go to wants, such as saving for a vacation, a gym membership, or anything that isn’t deemed essential; and the remaining 20% should be split between savings and paying down debts.

If you’re trying to play catch-up with your retirement savings, reducing your “wants” spending day-to-day can be more sustainable than trying to eliminate it entirely.

Maximize Savings with a Tax-free Savings Account

Consider opening a traditional or Roth individual retirement account (IRA), a Flexible Spending Account (ask your employer if they offer one), or a Health Savings Account if you have a high-deductible insurance plan. These are all tax-free or tax-advantaged savings vehicles that can help you lower your tax bill.

Contribute to Your Employer’s Retirement Plan

If offered, sign up for your employer-sponsored retirement plan, like a 401(k) or 403(b), then automate your retirement savings directly from your paycheck.

When possible, always take the full benefit of an employer’s match and try to save at least your company’s match level, Assaf recommends. “Otherwise, it’s like leaving free money on the table,” she says.

Important

If you’re an entrepreneur or 1099 contractor, you can use a simplified employee pension (SEP). 

Make a Plan to Pay Off Debt

The millennial demographic carried an average student loan debt of around $46,000 in 2021, according to Experian.

Whether your debt is student loans or another type, reducing or ideally eliminating extra debt before you officially retire will help your income go further toward covering living expenses and other costs in retirement.

Take time to investigate ways to pay off your student loans, from student loan forgiveness programs to setting up an income-driven repayment plan. If you have credit card debt, explore using tried-and-true methods to reduce it, such as paying off the debts with the highest interest rates first.

Diversify Your Investments

Ensuring you have a diverse mix of stocks, bonds, cash, and other assets in your retirement accounts offers the potential for the best long-term returns vs. investing only in one area within your asset allocation.

“Diversification in investing means you can spread your risk by adding different types of investments to your portfolio that aren’t likely to go up or down simultaneously,” explains Scott. “Millennials looking to diversify their portfolios should consider their retirement goals and timelines in deciding which diversification strategy is right for them.”

How Much Money Should Millennials Save for Retirement?

For anyone, the most important thing is to start saving as soon as possible for your future retirement. Social Security payments may simply not cover your essentials. One is to plan to save 10 times your starting salary by the time you are 67, the full retirement age for people born before 1960, with a plan to withdraw 4% of your retirement savings each year to cover expenses, adjusting for inflation as needed. Another method uses the 80% rule, which states you should save enough to live on 80% of your annual pre-retirement income to cover expenses each year that you are retired.

Who Is Not Eligible for Social Security?

Not everyone is eligible for Social Security benefits. This includes:

• American expatriates living in specific countries like Azerbaijan, Belarus, and Cuba
• Workers who never accrued the required 40 credits
• Self-employed tax evaders who didn’t pay into the system
• Some retired over-age 65 immigrants in the U.S.
• Certain federal workers and railroad employees

Are Freelancers or Self-employed Workers Eligible for Social Security?

Yes. Freelancers and self-employed workers who pay Social Security tax can qualify for credits. 

What’s the Average Savings of Millennials?

According to a 2023 Vanguard report, 25- to 34-year-olds (which include younger millennials) have saved $30,017 on average, and 35- to 44-year-olds (which include older millennials) have saved $76,354 on average.

What Percent of Millennials Have a 401(k)?

According to U.S. Census data, only about half of millennials have an employer-sponsored retirement account, including 401(k) and 403(b) plans.

The Bottom Line

If you’re a millennial, chances are you will receive at least some Social Security benefits when you retire. However, this will likely not be enough to cover your living expenses.

Millennials should plan supplement their Social Security benefits with additional retirement savings, including 401(k) and 403(b) plans, Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs), and other investments. With careful planning, budgeting, and investing now in your retirement, you can create a more financially stable life for your future self.

Read the original article on Investopedia.